As spring blooms across the Centennial State, NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center has recently dropped its 2025 Spring Outlook — and it’s a must-read for Coloradans. From warmer temperatures to shifting drought patterns, here’s what you need to know to stay ahead of the curve this season.
☀️ Warmer Days Ahead
This spring, forecasters expect above-average temperatures across much of the U.S., and Colorado is no exception. While we’ve seen some late-season snow in years past, this season looks warmer than normal, especially for the southern and central parts of the state.
That warmth isn’t just good news for outdoor enthusiasts itching to hit the hiking trails — it also means less risk of widespread spring flooding, thanks to low snowpack across the Northern Plains and Rockies.
🌧️ Drought Holding Steady in the West
Unfortunately, the warmer weather won’t come with much relief from the ongoing drought. NOAA’s outlook shows drought conditions persisting across the Southwest and parts of the Rockies, including areas in western and southern Colorado. The Four Corners region is especially likely to remain dry.
If you’re in agriculture, fire management, or just rely on seasonal water supplies, this spring will be a crucial time to monitor conditions. Precipitation chances for Colorado look slim, especially in the western half of the state.
🌊 Flood Risk? Low, But Stay Alert
NOAA’s National Water Center is forecasting a below-average risk of major flooding this spring — great news after several years of intense weather events around the country. However, this doesn’t mean we’re off the hook entirely. A single round of heavy rain can still trigger flash flooding, especially in urban areas and burn scars from past wildfires.
🌪️ Tornado Season Incoming
Don’t forget — spring is also peak tornado season in Colorado, especially along the Eastern Plains. Now’s the time to brush up on tornado safety and ensure you’ve got multiple ways to receive warnings. Severe weather can develop fast, and preparation is key.
🤓 What’s Driving the Outlook?
While La Niña conditions shaped the winter months, that climate driver is now fading. Forecasters expect a return to ENSO-neutral conditions this spring, meaning we’re in a “climate wildcard” phase. Without strong influence from El Niño or La Niña, shorter-term weather patterns, soil moisture, and snowpack become the bigger players in shaping spring’s outlook.
Bottom Line for Coloradans:
- Expect warmer-than-average temps across the state
- Drought likely to persist, especially in the west and south
- Low risk of major spring flooding, but flash floods still possible
- Tornado season is ramping up — stay weather-aware!
Spring is a time of change — and staying informed is the best way to enjoy it safely.